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ATON Kestrel

Kestrel, training live.

Every fold, as it happens.

Watch ATON Kestrel's first version being trained, a few seconds behind the work. Every result is shown as measured, above or below simply holding.

Live market data powered by Bitunix. Asset marks by CoinGecko. Illustrative, and not the final trading platform. Paper trading. No real money until launch.

Live

Where the build is

ALPHA v0.1.0
  1. Data gatheredDone

    Years of exchange history, turned into examples to learn from.

    since Oct 13

  2. TrainingDone

    Three specialists learn, fold by fold.

    since Oct 13

  3. GateDone

    Each must beat simply holding, after fees.

    since Oct 13

  4. Examstate.in_progress

    One test on six recent months nobody trained on.

    since Oct 13

  5. Language modelPlanned

    The model that explains each decision in plain words.

  6. PackagedPlanned

    Release notes and evidence, ready for review.

  7. PublishedPlanned

    Live for members once a founder approves it.

An estimate appears once the first fold is done.

Training units done
50
Training on now
Bitunix spot, 1m
Training pace
Between runs
Exchanges with full history
9 of 26

Harvest

Gathering

Bitunix spot 1m

74 of 550 pairs · 3,299,838 examples gathered

Learning, fold by fold

Each specialist learns from the past, then is tested on a later stretch it never saw. The line at zero is simply holding, after fees: above it beats holding, below it does not.

Swing 1 hour chart

Finished

5 of 5 folds

Holding, after fees+35.4−35.412345

Against holding, after fees: −35.4 bps · Did not pass the gate

Breakout 4 hour chart

Finished

5 of 5 folds

Holding, after fees+28.9−28.912345

Against holding, after fees: −28.9 bps · Did not pass the gate

Trend Daily chart

Finished

5 of 5 folds

Holding, after fees+217.6−217.612345

Against holding, after fees: −217.6 bps · Did not pass the gate

Kestrel vs just holding

Measured on data Kestrel never learned from, after fees, and shown as it is, above or below.

Walk-forward test, Trend

Just holding
Kestrel

−217.6 bps a period against holding · Behind holding

The news reader

What Kestrel's news reader took in today and the mood it read. A mood is a reading of news tone, not a signal.

Items today
856
Market mood
Positive
Storms
0
Pauses
0

Urgent bad news, such as an outage or a delisting, pauses a bot on that coin.

  • Exchange notices110
  • Regulators19
  • Publishers422
  • World news266
  • Status pages39

Coins in the news

  • BTCPositive
  • SOLPositive
  • ETHCalm
  • XRPPositive
  • SUIPositive
  • USDTPositive
  • TRXPositive
  • ARBPositive
  • USDCPositive
  • AAVECalm
  • ADANegative
  • LINKCalm
  • RLPositive
  • HYPEPositive
  • NEARPositive
  • UNIPositive
  • EGLDNegative
  • OPNegative
  • SNPSPositive
  • ZCSHPositive
  • ZROPositive
  • APTPositive
  • AVAXPositive
  • BNBCalm

The data universe

Every exchange we download, filling in as its history arrives. A ring marks an exchange whose full history is in.

Exchanges
26
Full history
9
Pairs
40.7K
Candles
29B
  • Binance8.1BBinance: 10,194 pairs, 8.1B candles, since 2017
  • KuCoin2.2BKuCoin: 1,697 pairs, 2.2B candles, since 2017
  • Bybit2BBybit: 1,476 pairs, 2B candles, since 2018
  • LBank2BLBank: 1,918 pairs, 2B candles, since 2018
  • OKX1.9BOKX: 2,217 pairs, 1.9B candles, since 2018
  • WhiteBIT1.8BWhiteBIT: 1,198 pairs, 1.8B candles, since 2019, full history
  • Bitunix1.8BBitunix: 1,331 pairs, 1.8B candles, since 2017, full history
  • Crypto.com1.8BCrypto.com: 996 pairs, 1.8B candles, since 2020, full history
  • Gate1.6BGate: 3,327 pairs, 1.6B candles, since 2013
  • Kraken1.1BKraken: 2,073 pairs, 1.1B candles, since 2013
  • BingX1BBingX: 1,962 pairs, 1B candles, since 2021
  • Bitget831.7MBitget: 4,375 pairs, 831.7M candles, since 2007
  • MEXC680.8MMEXC: 3,281 pairs, 680.8M candles, since 2017
  • Binance.US627MBinance.US: 265 pairs, 627M candles, since 2019
  • Coinbase543.7MCoinbase: 637 pairs, 543.7M candles, since 2015
  • Ourbit247.2MOurbit: 1,653 pairs, 247.2M candles, since 2024
  • Bitvavo240.3MBitvavo: 443 pairs, 240.3M candles, since 2019, full history
  • Bitbank198.3MBitbank: 62 pairs, 198.3M candles, since 2017, full history
  • Bybit EU90.7MBybit EU: 128 pairs, 90.7M candles, since 2025
  • Bitso73.4MBitso: 54 pairs, 73.4M candles, since 2014, full history
  • Bullish52.4MBullish: 190 pairs, 52.4M candles, since 2021
  • Toobit29.7MToobit: 523 pairs, 29.7M candles, since 2021, full history
  • NDAX16.6MNDAX: 90 pairs, 16.6M candles, since 2018, full history
  • Coinstore16.3MCoinstore: 442 pairs, 16.3M candles, since 2025
  • OSL4.4MOSL: 22 pairs, 4.4M candles, since 2023
  • Gemini4.3MGemini: 106 pairs, 4.3M candles, since 2025, full history

Build diary

ATON Atlas writes an entry at each milestone, and each is checked before it is published.

  1. All 9 exchanges are now complete

    The data for all 9 exchanges is now complete. That means 9 exchanges have a full history ready for ALPHA v0.1.0. The three specialists, swing 1h, breakout 4h and trend 1d, now move to the exam stage. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off.

  2. Trend specialist did not pass the gate

    The trend specialist on the daily chart has finished all 5 of 5 folds. Its excess result was -217.6 bps, against a holding baseline of -110 bps. That means it did not beat holding the market after fees, so it did not pass the gate. We say this plainly: this specialist does not move on as it is.

  3. The trend specialist finished its folds

    The trend specialist, which works on the daily chart, has completed 5 of 5 folds for ALPHA v0.1.0. The build is now at the exam stage. Finishing the folds does not mean it has passed. It still has to beat simply holding the market, after fees. Nine exchanges have complete history behind the work.

  4. Training is done, the exam stage begins

    Training for ALPHA v0.1.0 is finished for all three specialists: swing 1h, breakout 4h and trend 1d. The build now moves to the exam stage. Complete history is in place for 9 exchanges. Each specialist still has to beat simply holding the market, after fees, to pass the gate.

  5. The gate stage is done, the exam is next

    The gate stage of ALPHA v0.1.0 is done. It covered all three specialists: swing on the 1 hour chart, breakout on the 4 hour chart and trend on the daily chart. The build now moves to the exam stage. History is complete for 9 exchanges.

  6. The build has reached the exam stage

    ALPHA v0.1.0 is now at the exam stage. The three specialists are swing on the 1 hour chart, breakout on the 4 hour chart and trend on the daily chart. Training data comes from 9 exchanges with complete history. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off, and Kestrel stays on paper trading only.

  7. Breakout specialist finished all five folds

    The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has finished training: 5 of 5 folds are done. Each fold learned from the past and was then tested on a later stretch it had not seen. The build for ALPHA v0.1.0 is now at the exam stage. Nine exchanges have complete history. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off.

  8. Trend specialist has started its exam

    The trend specialist on the daily chart has finished all 5 of 5 folds. It has now started its exam. Swing on 1h, breakout on 4h and trend on 1d make up the three specialists in ALPHA v0.1.0. Complete history is in place for 9 exchanges. Paper trading only until launch.

  9. The build has reached the gate stage

    ALPHA v0.1.0 has moved on to the gate. The three specialists are swing on the 1 hour chart, breakout on the 4 hour chart and trend on the daily chart. The build is now in the exam. Each specialist must beat simply holding the market, after fees, to pass. History is complete for 9 exchanges.

  10. The exam stage is planned next

    The exam stage for ALPHA v0.1.0 is planned, not started. It covers all three specialists: swing on the 1 hour chart, breakout on the 4 hour chart and trend on the daily chart. Each one will be tested once on six recent months nobody trained on. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off. Complete history is in place for 9 exchanges.

  11. Breakout specialist did not pass the gate

    The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has finished all 5 of 5 folds. Its excess result was -28.9 bps, against -19.9 bps for simply holding the market. That is below holding, so it did not pass the gate. Nothing moves to the exam for this specialist, and we will keep you posted.

  12. The gate stage is done, the exam is next

    The gate stage of ALPHA v0.1.0 is done for all three specialists: swing 1h, breakout 4h and trend 1d. The gate is where each one has to beat simply holding the market, after fees. The build now moves to the exam. History from 9 exchanges is complete and in use. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off.

  13. The build has reached the exam stage

    ALPHA v0.1.0 is now at the exam stage. The three specialists are swing on the 1 hour chart, breakout on the 4 hour chart and trend on the daily chart. Complete history is in place for 9 exchanges. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off.

  14. Breakout specialist finishes its fifth fold

    The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has completed fold 5 of 5. That is 5 of 5 folds done. Each fold learns from the past and is then tested on a later stretch it never saw. The stage now is the exam. The gate still applies: it must beat simply holding the market, after fees. Nine exchanges have complete history.

  15. Breakout specialist finishes all five folds

    The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has finished its folds: 5 of 5 folds done. The build for ALPHA v0.1.0 is now at the exam stage. Nine exchanges have complete history in the data. No result is published yet, and each specialist still has to beat simply holding the market, after fees.

  16. Breakout specialist finishes its folds

    The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has logged fold 3 of 5, and its folds now read 5 of 5 done. The build moves to the exam stage. Training used complete history from 9 exchanges. The specialist still has to beat simply holding the market, after fees, to pass the gate.

  17. Breakout specialist finishes a fold

    The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has finished fold 2 of 5. Its folds are all done: 5 of 5. The build for ALPHA v0.1.0 is now at the exam stage. Nine exchanges have complete history. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off.

  18. Breakout specialist finishes its fifth fold

    The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has finished fold 1 of 5, and its folds now read 5 of 5 done. Each fold means it learned from the past and was then tested on a later stretch it never saw. The build for ALPHA v0.1.0 now moves to the exam stage. Complete history is in place for 9 exchanges.

  19. Swing specialist finishes all five folds

    The swing specialist on the 1 hour chart has completed 5 of 5 folds for ALPHA v0.1.0. Each fold learns from the past and is tested on a later stretch it never saw. The build is now at the exam stage. Training data covers 9 exchanges with complete history, and nothing is published without a founder's sign-off.

  20. Breakout specialist starts its exam

    The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has finished all 5 of 5 folds. It now moves to the exam stage for ALPHA v0.1.0. It must beat simply holding the market, after fees, to pass the gate. The swing 1h and trend 1d specialists are part of the same build, and 9 exchanges have complete history.

Versions

Each version is tested on six months it never saw and published only with a founder's approval. Members pick a version for each bot.

  1. ALPHA v0.1.0

    Being built now

  2. BETA

    After ALPHA

  3. Full release

    At launch, without a label

Paper trading only until launch.

Trained on NVIDIA Blackwell.