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The honest track record

Losses printed as big as the wins.

Every paper trade Kestrel has made, as the record keeps it: which coin, which side, which exchange, what the round trip cost and what was left after it. Nothing is picked out and nothing is tidied away. This page reads the same record as the Eye and the stream, with the same costs and the same totals. There is no second calculation anywhere on the site, so the numbers cannot quietly disagree. The headline counts the live book only. Proving lanes and exchange books are on the Eye's lanes page, each with its own numbers, never added in to make a total look better.

Every paper trade since October 22, 2026, in UTC.

Paper trading only. No real money is traded, nothing here is advice, and a past result says nothing about the next one.

The tally

Counted by the record, not by us.

Trades
279
Still open
0
Wins
71
Scratches
103
Losses
79
Result after costs
−183.16
Worst dip
−209.84

Each trade's money is in its own market's currency (USD). The totals add them as they are.

Running total after costs, by the time each trade closed. Worst dip

Every trade

Newest first, twenty-five to a page.

Clear filters

Dates are whole days in UTC.

Kestrel's paper trades, newest first, with each trade's costs and its result after them.
Opened (UTC)CoinSideHorizonVenueEntryRound trip costClosed byResult after costsHolding the same side (leverage only)
Oct 24, 2026, 01:53NEAR Leverage 1xShort4 hoursKraken Futures - Global4.63490.16%TimeLoss−0.05 USD+0.11
Oct 24, 2026, 01:26TAO Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global253.210.167%TalonWin+0.24 USD+0.40
Oct 24, 2026, 01:26NEAR Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global4.6350.185%TalonWin+0.32 USD+0.51
Oct 23, 2026, 19:59ADA Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global0.21320.126%TalonWin+0.80 USD+0.92
Oct 23, 2026, 19:18SOL Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global103.710.11%TalonWin+0.16 USD+0.27
Oct 23, 2026, 17:35DOT Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global1.12420.126%TalonWithdrawn+0.27 USD+0.40
Oct 23, 2026, 17:27XRP Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global1.30770.12%TalonWithdrawn+0.30 USD+0.42
Oct 23, 2026, 17:12NEAR Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global4.84150.195%TalonWin+0.66 USD+0.85
Oct 23, 2026, 15:50HBAR Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global0.079060.14%TalonScratch−0.03 USD+0.11
Oct 23, 2026, 15:31BCH Leverage 1xLong1 dayKraken Futures - Global285.280.148%TalonWin+0.24 USD+0.39
Oct 23, 2026, 14:51BCH Leverage 1xLong1 dayKraken Futures - Global284.450.148%TalonScratch−0.03 USD+0.12
Oct 23, 2026, 13:58PEPE Leverage 1xLong1 dayKraken Futures - Global0.0000050520.209%TalonLoss−0.10 USD+0.10
Oct 23, 2026, 13:23BCH Leverage 1xLong1 dayKraken Futures - Global284.970.184%TalonLoss−0.26 USD−0.07
Oct 23, 2026, 12:52DOT Leverage 1xLong1 dayKraken Futures - Global1.18630.172%StopLoss−2.40 USD−2.23
Oct 23, 2026, 12:45BCH Leverage 1xLong1 dayKraken Futures - Global284.950.163%TalonLoss−0.22 USD−0.06
Oct 23, 2026, 12:30DOT Leverage 1xLong4 hoursKraken Futures - Global1.1870.189%TalonScratch−0.01 USD+0.17
Oct 23, 2026, 12:22LTC Leverage 1xShort4 hoursKraken Futures - Global58.770.134%TalonScratch−0.01 USD+0.12
Oct 23, 2026, 12:22AVAX Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global9.1650.14%TalonLoss−0.11 USD+0.03
Oct 23, 2026, 11:57LTC Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global58.960.134%TalonScratch−0.03 USD+0.10
Oct 23, 2026, 11:57AVAX Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global9.1940.14%TalonWin+0.16 USD+0.30
Oct 23, 2026, 10:53ADA Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global0.215770.132%TalonWin+0.19 USD+0.32
Oct 23, 2026, 10:02AVAX Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global9.2150.14%TalonWin+0.24 USD+0.38
Oct 23, 2026, 08:06FIL Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global0.99050.175%TalonScratch−0.01 USD+0.16
Oct 23, 2026, 08:06LTC Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global59.360.126%TalonScratch−0.01 USD+0.12
Oct 23, 2026, 08:06AVAX Leverage 1xShort1 dayKraken Futures - Global9.2680.14%TalonScratch0.00 USD+0.14

Not published yet

Said plainly, so nobody fills the gap.

  • The split of each trade's costs into fees and slippage. Each trade shows the whole round trip it paid, as one share of its entry.
  • Funding for every trade. Where the record carries it, it has its own column; where it does not, the column stays empty.
  • The model version behind each trade. The record does not name one yet, so no column claims one.
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